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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · New Hampshire

Chris Pappas, the Democrat, wins New Hampshire’s Senate race by 13.7 points

Kamala Harris carried New Hampshire by 2.8 points in 2024; the Senate race moved 10.9 points toward Democrats.

In the House, every one of the two contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 14.3 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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New Hampshire’s two House seats

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Before2–0
20262–0

Solid: won. The tick marks a majority (2 of 2).

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin. Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 2 seats needed for a majority.
  1. NH-02Maggie GoodlanderD+20.0← 16.5
  2. NH-01Stefany ShaheenD+14.1← 12.1

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the Senate race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the Senate race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

  1. Strafford County

    Moved 13.6 points toward Democrats: D+12.1 for president in 2024; Chris Pappas, the Democrat, carried it at D+25.6.

    58,159 votes counted, 76,323 cast in 2024.

  2. Merrimack County

    Moved 12.5 points toward Democrats: D+5.2 for president in 2024; Chris Pappas, the Democrat, carried it at D+17.7.

    72,500 votes counted, 92,475 cast in 2024.

  3. Coos County

    Moved 12.5 points toward Democrats: R+13.8 for president in 2024; John E. Sununu, the Republican, carried it at R+1.3.

    12,971 votes counted, 17,230 cast in 2024.

  4. Cheshire County

    Moved 12.4 points toward Democrats: D+9.8 for president in 2024; Chris Pappas, the Democrat, carried it at D+22.2.

    34,937 votes counted, 45,200 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Across counties, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 1.5 points more Republican, on average (r = −0.46, a moderate relationship).

0D+5D+10D+1520%30%40%50%% with a bachelor's degree →↑ moved toward Democrats from 2024

By place

Suburban6 counties, 533,250 votes11.2 pts → D
Rural4 counties, 104,281 votes9.4 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

White non-Hispanic 85% or more9 counties, 459,867 votes10.7 pts → D
Every other county1 county, 177,664 votes11.5 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in New Hampshire

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Compare

Across the 10 counties, the Senate race went D+13.7 and the governor's race R+4.4: the Senate margin ran 18.1 points more Democratic than the governor's. 4 counties were carried by different parties in the two.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the governor's in each county.

Sen. D, Gov. RSen. R, Gov. DR+30R+15R+1500D+15D+15D+30D+30same margin in both ↗Governor marginSenate margin
Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the governor Democrat; below it, worse.

33011carried by different parties

Senate
D+14.4Pappas against Sununu
Governor
R+4.8Warmington against Ayotte
Difference
D+19.2Pappas ran ahead
Votes
about 177,092
Most votes firstSen.Gov.Diff.
  • 33011D+14.4R+4.8D+19.2
  • 33015D+7.0R+11.7D+18.7
  • 33013D+17.7D+0.5D+17.2
  • 33017D+25.6D+8.5D+17.2
  • 33009D+28.7D+12.0D+16.7
  • 33005D+22.2D+10.1D+12.1
  • 33001R+3.1R+25.2D+22.0
  • 33003D+5.9R+12.4D+18.3
  • 33019D+10.4R+6.1D+16.4
  • 33007R+1.3R+22.6D+21.2

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

New Hampshire’s legislature

Counts are New Hampshire’s official state and county counts, published by the New Hampshire Secretary of State. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.