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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Kansas

Adam Hamilton, the Democrat, flips Kansas’s Senate seat

Adam Hamilton won by 5.1 points, 21.2 points more Democratic than the state voted for president in 2024.

In the House, every one of the four contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 13.5 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Kansas’s four House seats

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Before1–3
20261–3

Solid: won. The tick marks a majority (3 of 4).

Democrats lost 2 seats by under 10 points: KS-02 R+6.2, KS-04 R+9.5. A majority took 3 of 4; they held 1, and the two closest would have made it.

The seat that decided the majority: KS-04, R+9.5, a district that voted R+23.1 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin. Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 3 seats needed for a majority.
  1. KS-03Sharice DavidsD+21.2← 17.1
  2. KS-02Derek SchmidtR+6.2← 13.4
  3. KS-04Ron EstesR+9.5← 13.6
  4. KS-01Tracey MannR+21.6← 9.5

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the Senate race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the Senate race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

  1. Ford County

    Moved 39.4 points toward Democrats: R+38.4 for president in 2024; Adam Hamilton, the Democrat, carried it at D+1.1. The county changed sides.

    7,198 votes counted, 8,224 cast in 2024.

  2. Finney County

    Moved 37.2 points toward Democrats: R+34.7 for president in 2024; Adam Hamilton, the Democrat, carried it at D+2.5. The county changed sides.

    9,234 votes counted, 10,782 cast in 2024.

  3. Wyandotte County

    Moved 24.9 points toward Democrats: D+23.9 for president in 2024; Adam Hamilton, the Democrat, carried it at D+48.7.

    43,181 votes counted, 50,602 cast in 2024.

  4. Crawford County

    Moved 24.0 points toward Democrats: R+25.3 for president in 2024; Roger Marshall, the Republican, carried it at R+1.3.

    12,213 votes counted, 16,334 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Barely related across counties. On average, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.5 points more Republican (r = −0.19).

0D+10D+20D+30D+40D+5010%20%30%40%50%60%% with a bachelor's degree →↑ moved toward Democrats from 2024

By place

Urban2 counties, 340,232 votes20.2 pts → D
Suburban5 counties, 351,980 votes20.4 pts → D
Rural98 counties, 407,684 votes19.9 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

Hispanic residents 30% or more10 counties, 69,886 votes30.0 pts → D
White non-Hispanic 85% or more61 counties, 231,094 votes17.9 pts → D
Every other county34 counties, 798,916 votes20.4 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Kansas

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Compare

Across the 105 counties, the Senate race went D+5.1 and the governor's race D+0.7: the Senate margin ran 4.4 points more Democratic than the governor's. 2 counties were carried by different parties in the two.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the governor's in each county.

Sen. D, Gov. RSen. R, Gov. DR+80R+40R+4000D+40D+40D+80D+80same margin in both ↗Governor marginSenate margin
Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the governor Democrat; below it, worse.

20055carried by different parties

Senate
D+2.5Hamilton against Marshall
Governor
R+0.9Holscher against Masterson
Difference
D+3.4Hamilton ran ahead
Votes
about 9,213
Most votes firstSen.Gov.Diff.
  • 20091D+28.0D+22.8D+5.2
  • 20173D+7.7D+4.7D+3.0
  • 20177D+19.0D+14.2D+4.9
  • 20045D+54.7D+52.2D+2.6
  • 20209D+48.7D+45.8D+2.9
  • 20103R+0.9R+6.6D+5.7
  • 20015R+23.5R+26.0D+2.5
  • 20155R+15.8R+20.1D+4.3
  • 20161D+21.1D+17.4D+3.7
  • 20169R+14.3R+17.7D+3.4
  • 20121R+19.0R+23.8D+4.8
  • 20079R+3.9R+7.6D+3.7
  • 20037R+1.3R+7.9D+6.6
  • 20113R+25.6R+28.6D+3.0
  • 20111D+8.1D+2.5D+5.5
  • 20149R+28.7R+33.6D+4.9
  • 20051R+24.7R+27.9D+3.2
  • 20035R+20.2R+24.9D+4.6
  • 20059R+17.9R+23.5D+5.6
  • 20055D+2.5R+0.9D+3.4
  • 20125R+31.3R+34.1D+2.8
  • 20009R+38.1R+42.0D+3.9
  • 20191R+30.2R+33.0D+2.9
  • 20087R+18.3R+23.7D+5.4
  • 20057D+1.1R+2.0D+3.1
  • 20041R+36.9R+41.5D+4.6
  • 20061D+5.5D+0.1D+5.4
  • 20139R+28.3R+34.2D+6.0
  • 20021R+32.9R+40.0D+7.0
  • 20099R+19.0R+23.7D+4.7
  • 20085R+22.2R+27.8D+5.6
  • 20005R+14.0R+21.1D+7.2
  • 20133R+26.0R+33.0D+6.9
  • 20115R+34.9R+36.9D+2.0
  • 20011R+34.7R+42.4D+7.6
  • 20131R+54.5R+59.7D+5.2
  • 20175D+13.5D+9.0D+4.5
  • 20001R+22.9R+29.3D+6.4
  • 20117R+31.1R+39.9D+8.8
  • 20107R+47.5R+53.3D+5.8
  • 20031R+39.8R+45.6D+5.8
  • 20013R+29.9R+37.8D+7.9
  • 20027R+40.1R+45.5D+5.4
  • 20151R+33.3R+36.4D+3.1
  • 20197R+32.2R+38.1D+5.9
  • 20159R+38.9R+42.3D+3.4
  • 20029R+42.0R+47.1D+5.1
  • 20095R+44.4R+46.9D+2.4
  • 20003R+41.7R+45.7D+4.0
  • 20193R+48.9R+53.0D+4.1
  • 20205R+46.2R+52.2D+6.0
  • 20043R+48.0R+54.0D+6.1
  • 20167R+44.5R+50.3D+5.8
  • 20123R+53.4R+55.3D+1.9
  • 20143R+54.7R+57.9D+3.2
  • 20127R+23.4R+29.2D+5.9
  • 20053R+33.7R+38.0D+4.3
  • 20073R+45.2R+48.6D+3.4
  • 20201R+58.4R+63.8D+5.4
  • 20145R+36.7R+39.0D+2.4
  • 20147R+60.2R+66.8D+6.6
  • 20157R+49.6R+55.4D+5.9
  • 20163R+56.7R+59.0D+2.3
  • 20181R+53.4R+58.1D+4.7
  • 20077R+47.9R+51.8D+4.0
  • 20137R+54.7R+58.2D+3.5
  • 20007R+59.4R+61.1D+1.6
  • 20171R+55.2R+58.8D+3.6
  • 20069R+50.5R+55.6D+5.0
  • 20067R+35.1R+40.9D+5.7
  • 20183R+57.5R+60.9D+3.4
  • 20185R+43.7R+50.1D+6.4
  • 20119R+52.1R+56.0D+3.9
  • 20195R+53.3R+59.3D+6.0
  • 20189R+50.2R+57.3D+7.1
  • 20165R+45.7R+51.2D+5.5
  • 20141R+54.5R+59.5D+5.0
  • 20105R+54.8R+56.2D+1.3
  • 20089R+64.4R+71.0D+6.6
  • 20017R+33.7R+37.1D+3.5
  • 20207R+44.9R+50.0D+5.1
  • 20019R+60.4R+61.2D+0.8
  • 20109R+56.7R+62.8D+6.2
  • 20039R+56.8R+63.3D+6.4
  • 20153R+57.0R+60.7D+3.7
  • 20135R+65.1R+68.3D+3.1
  • 20023R+53.9R+63.0D+9.2
  • 20179R+69.9R+74.9D+5.0
  • 20093R+52.5R+54.0D+1.5
  • 20047R+52.9R+51.3R+1.6
  • 20065R+49.0R+53.8D+4.7
  • 20049R+58.8R+60.1D+1.3
  • 20081R+43.5R+50.1D+6.6
  • 20063R+62.3R+66.2D+3.9
  • 20097R+57.4R+61.6D+4.3
  • 20025R+54.4R+56.4D+2.0
  • 20129R+57.0R+62.9D+5.9
  • 20083R+57.3R+58.7D+1.4
  • 20203R+59.1R+63.3D+4.2
  • 20101R+56.3R+61.5D+5.2
  • 20033R+47.3R+54.9D+7.6
  • 20199R+76.0R+76.7D+0.7
  • 20075R+48.7R+49.3D+0.6
  • 20187R+42.7R+53.8D+11.1
  • 20071R+45.9R+54.5D+8.6

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Kansas’s legislature

Counts are Kansas’s official state and county counts. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.