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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Indiana

Democrats came within 2 seats of a majority of Indiana’s House delegation

In the House, every one of the nine contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 21.2 points (the second-largest median move of the 44 states with two or more).

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Indiana’s nine House seats

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Before2–7
20263–6

Solid: won; paler: leading, still counting. The tick marks a majority (5 of 9). 1 seat changes party: IN-05.

Democrats lost or trail in 3 seats by under 10 points: IN-02 R+4.9, IN-04 R+8.4, IN-03 R+9.7*. A majority took 5 of 9; they held 3, and the two closest would have made it.

The seat that decided the majority: IN-04, R+8.4, a district that voted R+29.1 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin (the expected finish where still counting, marked *). Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 5 seats needed for a majority.
  1. IN-07André CarsonD+56.6*← 15.4
  2. IN-01Frank J. MrvanD+25.8← 25.4
  3. IN-05J.D. FordFlipD+3.3← 20.0
  4. IN-02Rudy YakymR+4.9← 21.3
  5. IN-04Jim BairdR+8.4← 20.7
  6. IN-03Marlin A. StutzmanR+9.7*← 21.2
  7. IN-06Jefferson ShreveR+10.2← 22.1
  8. IN-09Erin HouchinR+10.5← 19.1
  9. IN-08Mark MessmerR+10.6← 25.0

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the race for secretary of state; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the race for secretary of state, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

  1. Vigo County

    Moved 36.4 points toward Democrats: R+18.1 for president in 2024; Beau Bayh, the Democrat, carried it at D+18.3. The county changed sides.

    27,491 votes counted, 40,877 cast in 2024.

  2. Shelby County

    Moved 35.0 points toward Democrats: R+48.0 for president in 2024; Max Engling, the Republican, carried it at R+13.0.

    11,878 votes counted, 19,754 cast in 2024.

  3. Dubois County

    Moved 34.6 points toward Democrats: R+42.2 for president in 2024; Max Engling, the Republican, carried it at R+7.7.

    14,539 votes counted, 21,406 cast in 2024.

  4. Henry County

    Moved 33.0 points toward Democrats: R+47.7 for president in 2024; Max Engling, the Republican, carried it at R+14.7.

    12,850 votes counted, 20,592 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Across counties, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 1.7 points more Republican, on average (r = −0.50, a moderate relationship).

0D+10D+20D+30D+4010%30%50%70%% with a bachelor's degree →↑ moved toward Democrats from 2024

By place

Urban2 counties, 403,191 votes24.0 pts → D
Suburban39 counties, 1,206,768 votes27.4 pts → D
Rural51 counties, 326,360 votes29.5 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

White non-Hispanic 85% or more69 counties, 609,043 votes28.6 pts → D
Every other county23 counties, 1,327,276 votes26.5 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Indiana

House · Changes first, then the closest

District 5FlipJ.D. Ford Dover Victoria Spartz (R)D+3.3R+16.720.0 pts → DwonDistrict 2Rudy Yakym Rover Jamee Decio (D)R+4.9R+26.321.3 pts → DwonDistrict 4Jim Baird Rover Drew Cox (D)R+8.4R+29.120.7 pts → DwonDistrict 3Marlin A. Stutzman Rover Kelly Thompson (D)R+9.7*R+30.921.2 pts → DcountingDistrict 6Jefferson Shreve Rover Cynthia (Cinde) Wirth (D)R+10.2R+32.322.1 pts → Dwon

Other statewide offices

Secretary of StateBeau Bayh Dover Max Engling (R)D+9.2*R+19.028.2 pts → DcountingTreasurer of StateDaniel Elliott Rover Coumba Kebe (D)R+2.1*R+19.016.9 pts → DcountingComptroller (Auditor of State)Jessica Bailey Dover Elise Nieshalla (R)D+2.6*R+19.021.6 pts → Dcounting

Ballot measures

Public Question #1: Constitutional amendment58.3% yespassing
Public Question #2: Constitutional amendment62.6% yespassing

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Indiana’s legislature

Senate25 of 50 seats on the ballotBefore10–40Leaders15–355 seats are led by another party than held them. Republicans keep control.Every district, mapped →House100 of 100 seats on the ballotBefore30–691 otherLeaders46–5416 seats are led by another party than held them. Republicans keep control.Every district, mapped →

Counts are Indiana’s official state and county counts, published by the Indiana Election Division. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.